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A 30-day ceasefire in Ukraine seems like good news, but its endurance will determine Ukraine’s sovereignty and survival. Moscow faces pressure to align with Trump’s peace goals, yet Russia’s history of delaying truces for military gain raises doubts. The Kremlin, after years of aggression, may accept a peace deal, but Kyiv remains unwilling to freeze front lines, fearing permanent territorial loss. With Russia poised to rearm faster, Ukraine risks strategic disadvantage. The reality of diplomacy will test assumptions about trust in Moscow and Kyiv’s determination to reclaim its land.
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