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Political and military analysts argue that Vladimir Putin’s decision to avoid a full-scale escalation in Ukraine reflects a careful balance of risk and survival. Strategic restraint, fears of direct confrontation with NATO, and awareness of the alliance’s overwhelming military capabilities have shaped Moscow’s approach. Escalation could invite severe economic retaliation, internal instability, and personal threats to Putin’s hold on power. By limiting the scope of conflict, the Kremlin seeks to preserve leverage while avoiding consequences that could spiral beyond control. This calculated posture highlights how modern warfare, global alliances, and personal political survival intersect, making total escalation a far more dangerous option than prolonged, controlled engagement.
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